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Chances of India replacing China in next 50 years

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Novosedoff View Drop Down
Baron
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    Posted: 14 Aug 2020 at 03:28
What are the chances of India gradually catching up with China in terms of export of goods and services within next 50 years? Smile Do you find it feasible that the share of the Chinese economy in world exports will be falling while India's share will be on the rise, given the current political developments?
I teach history to children and I am proud that they leave my classes permeated with sh*t and hatred to meet the real world..
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Novosedoff View Drop Down
Baron
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Novosedoff Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 2020 at 06:32
"anglosaxon reign", "libor banking gambling"...... - sounds like the stream of Russian propaganda has reached me even on a discussion board hosted in the UK, where I tried to escape it Smile  Reading through the lines of your anti-globalist and anti-capitalist sentiments, Pelagon, I cannot help but ask you if you are in the same Kremlin sponsored club with Katasonov, Starikov, Devyatov and other folks, surely if you dont mind me asking ..? 

I apologize if my comment is causing any inconvenience because clearly it's taken you quite a bit of time just to type your message. But the 2nd and largest part of your post is clearly a digression and irrelevant to the main topic. I think I am the one who should be blamed for that as topic starter because the topic itself was politically provocative..

Back to the original question of mine, I just wanted to remind that in the period 1948-1953 Indian exports exceeded Chinese. So things can change very rapidly in this world..



Edited by Novosedoff - 14 Aug 2020 at 12:40
I teach history to children and I am proud that they leave my classes permeated with sh*t and hatred to meet the real world..
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Novosedoff View Drop Down
Baron
Baron


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Novosedoff Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 Aug 2020 at 13:14
Quote  China through the Silk&Road Initiative and Russia through the gas pipelines they will become more independent from any financial collapse of the world economy in which case America and Europe will have bigger problems if not biggest, thats why western nwo globalists are rushing for ww3 as soon as possible 

Wah wah wah... you are too optimistic. I'm sure you must have heard what Albert Einstein once told about WW3 Smile I don't believe it will ever happen no matter how much my Govt tries to feed me the propaganda sh*t.

American political stance on Russian pipelines is a bit risible for an ignorant observer like myself. But Europe seems to be doing just fine by mitigating its supply risks, i.e. building infrastructure for American liquified deliverables and at the same time halting the completion of Russian pipelines as it suits Europe the most Smile Russia can do nothing about it because it's up to Europe to decide what it wants from who. After all I think the solution to this problem may pop up unexpectedly with a new breakthrough in energy sources optimization of use. This will sideline both the US and Russian expectations. I don't think that Mr Putin's firm grip on Europe's economic throat will benefit this world either in the long run.

Frankly, I don't like to participate in political debates like the one we are having here. It's all pointless because we operate within roughly the same  domain of knowledge: both of us are ignorant, both politically and technically. Otherwise we wouldn't be here Smile


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Novosedoff View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Novosedoff Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 04 Sep 2020 at 20:43
This is an interesting chart from a Thomas Piketty's paper, showing discrepancies between India and China in collection of the income taxes over the period of 30 years.. Smile

 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote franciscosan Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 05 Sep 2020 at 11:56
One thing about India, is that it is 12 hours off the United States, and they speak English, perfect for (their) nightshift tech support and phone solicitation.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Vanuatu Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Sep 2020 at 08:21
Novosodove, Brexit has led to an increase in UK business,( I could find stats if you are interested )
and this is a Financial Indicator, I think.
Look at how India has always kept peaking and then graph drops when Obozo became president.
World politics matter. 
I can say I'd like to see it but they have religious matters to sort out first, caste system also total bullsh*t that holds them back.
Still round the corner there may wait, a new road or a secret gate. (J. R. R. Tolkien)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Novosedoff Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 20 Sep 2020 at 13:52
This is historical retrospective of both Chinese and Indian input to the world economy

Edited by Novosedoff - 20 Sep 2020 at 13:54
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Vanuatu View Drop Down
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (1) Thanks(1)   Quote Vanuatu Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 24 Sep 2020 at 23:00
Well it's appears to be going down and down more, in 2019 it's slightly larger than UK. 
I don't know why most links don't work here, diagnostics test says 'make sure computer is turned on'
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https://www.statista.com/statistics/268173/countries-with-the-largest-gross-domestic-product-gdp/



Edited by Vanuatu - 24 Sep 2020 at 23:04
Still round the corner there may wait, a new road or a secret gate. (J. R. R. Tolkien)
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